Calculations of the hurricane eye motion based on singularity propagation theory

Vladimir Danilov*, Georgii Omel'Yanov, Daniil Rozenknop

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

2 Scopus citations

Abstract

We discuss the possibility of using calculating singularities to forecast the dynamics of hurricanes. Our basic model is the shallow-water system. By treating the hurricane eye as a vortex type singularity and truncating the corresponding sequence of Hugoniot type conditions, we carry out many numerical experiments. The comparison of our results with the tracks of three actual hurricanes shows that our approach is rather fruitful.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)XXXV-XXXVI
JournalElectronic Journal of Differential Equations
Volume2002
StatePublished - 2002
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Asymptotic behavior
  • Forecast, hurricane

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