Recesión en los estados de México: Magnitud y causas

Miguel Ángel Díaz Carreño; Pablo Mejía Reyes; Alfredo Erquizio Espinal; Roberto Ramírez Rodríguez

doi:10.1016/j.cya.2015.05.005

Recesión en los estados de México: Magnitud y causas

Translated title of the contribution: Recession in the Mexican States: Magnitude and causes

Miguel Ángel Díaz Carreño^*, Pablo Mejía Reyes, Alfredo Erquizio Espinal, Roberto Ramírez Rodríguez

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

4 Scopus citations

Abstract

This paper analyzes the role of trade, output structure and the capital flows on the drop of the output into Mexican states during the Great Recession between 2007 and 2009 by using nonparametric regression method. The results shows that the main variables that explain the state output drop, when we use the state coincident index (ICE) and the manufacturing output index (MAN), these are the ratios of the maquiladora industry and manufacturing industry (Maq/Man) as well as the automotriz output and the manufacturing output (A/Man), while when we use the quarterly indicator of the state economic activity (QIEEA) to account the state output drop, variables such as Maq/Man and the specialization indicator of the automotriz output (IE-A) were the more significant explicative variables.

Translated title of the contribution	Recession in the Mexican States: Magnitude and causes
Original language	Spanish
Pages (from-to)	147-168
Number of pages	22
Journal	Contaduria y Administracion
Volume	60
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cya.2015.05.005
State	Published - 1 Oct 2015

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Publisher Copyright:
© 2015 Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Facultad de Contaduría y Administración.

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title = "Recesi{\'o}n en los estados de M{\'e}xico: Magnitud y causas",

abstract = "This paper analyzes the role of trade, output structure and the capital flows on the drop of the output into Mexican states during the Great Recession between 2007 and 2009 by using nonparametric regression method. The results shows that the main variables that explain the state output drop, when we use the state coincident index (ICE) and the manufacturing output index (MAN), these are the ratios of the maquiladora industry and manufacturing industry (Maq/Man) as well as the automotriz output and the manufacturing output (A/Man), while when we use the quarterly indicator of the state economic activity (QIEEA) to account the state output drop, variables such as Maq/Man and the specialization indicator of the automotriz output (IE-A) were the more significant explicative variables.",

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T1 - Recesión en los estados de México

T2 - Magnitud y causas

AU - Díaz Carreño, Miguel Ángel

AU - Mejía Reyes, Pablo

AU - Erquizio Espinal, Alfredo

AU - Ramírez Rodríguez, Roberto

PY - 2015/10/1

Y1 - 2015/10/1

N2 - This paper analyzes the role of trade, output structure and the capital flows on the drop of the output into Mexican states during the Great Recession between 2007 and 2009 by using nonparametric regression method. The results shows that the main variables that explain the state output drop, when we use the state coincident index (ICE) and the manufacturing output index (MAN), these are the ratios of the maquiladora industry and manufacturing industry (Maq/Man) as well as the automotriz output and the manufacturing output (A/Man), while when we use the quarterly indicator of the state economic activity (QIEEA) to account the state output drop, variables such as Maq/Man and the specialization indicator of the automotriz output (IE-A) were the more significant explicative variables.

AB - This paper analyzes the role of trade, output structure and the capital flows on the drop of the output into Mexican states during the Great Recession between 2007 and 2009 by using nonparametric regression method. The results shows that the main variables that explain the state output drop, when we use the state coincident index (ICE) and the manufacturing output index (MAN), these are the ratios of the maquiladora industry and manufacturing industry (Maq/Man) as well as the automotriz output and the manufacturing output (A/Man), while when we use the quarterly indicator of the state economic activity (QIEEA) to account the state output drop, variables such as Maq/Man and the specialization indicator of the automotriz output (IE-A) were the more significant explicative variables.

KW - Great Recession

KW - Mexican States

KW - Non parametric regression

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DO - 10.1016/j.cya.2015.05.005

M3 - Artículo

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VL - 60

SP - 147

EP - 168

JO - Contaduria y Administracion

JF - Contaduria y Administracion

ER -

Recesión en los estados de México: Magnitud y causas

Abstract

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